Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for GOMBE-22 in Madagascar from 07 Mar 2022 18:00 UTC to 11 Mar 2022 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GOMBE-22

in Madagascar

11 Mar 2022 00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC
Primary source
WMO-RSMC La Réunion
Beta version

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GOMBE-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2022-000182-MDG
Exposed countries	Madagascar
Exposed population	100 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	185 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.4 m (11 Mar 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Madagascar)
Landfall	between 10 Mar 2022 18:00 - 11 Mar 2022 00:00 in Mozambique

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	185 km/h	1.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	185 km/h	1.4 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	07 Mar 2022 18:00	111	1000 thousand	No people	Madagascar, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
2	08 Mar 2022 06:00	130	4.9 million	230 thousand	Mozambique
3	08 Mar 2022 18:00	139	8.1 million	540 thousand	Mozambique
4	09 Mar 2022 06:00	130	5.3 million	1.3 million	Mozambique
5	09 Mar 2022 18:00	185	6.2 million	2.1 million	Mozambique
6	10 Mar 2022 00:00	185	5.9 million	440 thousand	Mozambique
7	10 Mar 2022 06:00	167	8 million	500 thousand	Mozambique
8	10 Mar 2022 12:00	185	7 million	600 thousand	Mozambique
9	10 Mar 2022 18:00	148	6.4 million	850 thousand	Mozambique
10	11 Mar 2022 00:00	185	5.6 million	No people	Mozambique, Madagascar

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	07 Mar 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-15.6, 51.3
2	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-15.4, 49.4	Madagascar
3	08 Mar 2022 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	400000 people	-15.1, 47.6	Madagascar
4	09 Mar 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	-14.8, 46
5	09 Mar 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	-15.3, 44.3
6	10 Mar 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	-15.3, 43.6
7	10 Mar 2022 06:00	Category 1	120	no people	1.1 million people	-15.6, 42.8
8	10 Mar 2022 12:00	Category 1	139	100000 people	1.5 million people	-15.9, 42.1
9	10 Mar 2022 18:00	Category 1	148	300000 people	4.3 million people	-15.9, 41.4
10	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Category 3	185	no people	4.2 million people	-15.5, 40.7	Mozambique
10	11 Mar 2022 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	4.6 million people	-15.2, 39.4	Mozambique
10	12 Mar 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	1.7 million people	-15.2, 38.3	Mozambique
10	12 Mar 2022 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-15.3, 37.5	Mozambique
10	13 Mar 2022 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-15.7, 36.9	Mozambique
10	14 Mar 2022 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	16000 people	-17.4, 37.5	Mozambique
10	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-18.7, 38.6
10	16 Mar 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-19.5, 39.5

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

1.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.4m in Barroa, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 11 Mar 2022 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (128 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 10 of 11 Mar 2022 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	11 Mar 2022 01:00	Barroa	Mozambique	1.4
	11 Mar 2022 01:00	Coluvelane	Mozambique	0.9
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Terrene	Mozambique	0.9
	11 Mar 2022 02:00	Metopa	Mozambique	0.9
	11 Mar 2022 01:00	Quinga	Mozambique	0.7
	11 Mar 2022 01:00	Metula	Mozambique	0.7
	11 Mar 2022 03:00	Muaco	Mozambique	0.6
	11 Mar 2022 01:00	Momade	Mozambique	0.6
	11 Mar 2022 03:00	Namacoto	Mozambique	0.6
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Damiao	Mozambique	0.5
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Nhangau	Mozambique	0.5
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Chamba	Mozambique	0.5
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Beira	Mozambique	0.5
	11 Mar 2022 03:00	Namuali	Mozambique	0.4
	11 Mar 2022 02:00	Nantapa	Mozambique	0.4
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Maconharumo	Mozambique	0.4
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Chofandicho	Mozambique	0.4
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Amado	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Mossuril	Mozambique	0.3
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Tama	Mozambique	0.3
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Jonja	Mozambique	0.3
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Machesse	Mozambique	0.3
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Panaca	Mozambique	0.3
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Manica	Mozambique	0.3
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Chimuaza	Mozambique	0.3
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Mulia	Mozambique	0.3
	08 Mar 2022 21:00	Antonibe	Madagascar	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 02:00	Cabaceira	Mozambique	0.3
	08 Mar 2022 21:00	Ankinganomby	Madagascar	0.3
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Bingue	Mozambique	0.3
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Rupia	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 01:00	Calajulo	Mozambique	0.3
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Ocone	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 02:00	Larde	Mozambique	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 02:00	Coropoa	Mozambique	0.3
	08 Mar 2022 22:00	Ambalatsingy	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 01:00	Natiquinde	Mozambique	0.2
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Vila do Chinde	Mozambique	0.2
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Nova Sofala	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Sanhute	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Miaola	Mozambique	0.2
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Quelimane do Sal	Mozambique	0.2
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Inhangulue	Mozambique	0.2
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Magromane	Mozambique	0.2
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Nhamatamanga	Mozambique	0.2
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Barra	Mozambique	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 21:00	Anjiajia	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 07:00	Mocareja	Mozambique	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 22:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 03:00	Namorre	Mozambique	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Voloina	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Manambia	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Mocambique	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Mosengeri	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 05:00	Napito	Mozambique	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Anantoraka	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Lumbo	Mozambique	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 22:00	Tsaratanana	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Maroantsetra	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 09:00	Caramaca	Mozambique	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Mahalevona	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Benjana	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Manampea	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 11:00	Metapa	Mozambique	0.2
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Ankazobe	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 01:00	Angoche	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 01:00	Aube	Mozambique	0.2
	14 Mar 2022 03:00	Mutiba	Mozambique	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 22:00	Antaribao	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 22:00	Ampasindava	Madagascar	0.2
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Boanamary	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 21:00	Marovoha	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Matibane	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 07:00	Chululu	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 12:00	Tomodo	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 12:00	Caliua	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 11:00	Raraga	Mozambique	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Mendozo	Mozambique	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Andemba	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Ampanihy	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Reharaka	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 09:00	Murrumuana	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 06:00	Maaia	Mozambique	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Tambohorano	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Ambatomilahy	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 06:00	Injaca	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 10:00	Morrua	Mozambique	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Ankirijibe	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Manomba	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Ambato	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 22:00	Ankinganifahatelo	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 07:00	Moebase	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 10:00	Pebane	Mozambique	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Kamendriky	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Ambanizana	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Alimperia	Mozambique	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Maintirano	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Belailay	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Ankoakala	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 09:00	Mutadua	Mozambique	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Katsepy	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Rantabe	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Maintimbato	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Tampolo	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 22:00	Anjajavy	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 22:00	Ankaranakatra	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 06:00	Lunga	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 06:00	Ali	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Minhauine	Mozambique	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Manometimay	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Antsamaka	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Morondava	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Antserananbondro	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Ankirijibe	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Kivalo Est	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Ampasitsilavitra	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Majunga	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 22:00	Ampitily	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 00:00	Messonta	Mozambique	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Chiloane	Mozambique	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Antandrokomby	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Antsafy	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Onara	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 21:00	Antetikireja	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Ambato	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Nosy Faly	Madagascar	0.1
	15 Mar 2022 00:00	Tsilambana	Madagascar	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
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